A horrible crisis has gripped the California education establishment. Lower test scores? Higher drop out rates? Fewer kids going on to college? Far worse than that. The disaster is that there are fewer kids to teach. A report from the California Legislative Analyst shows K-12 enrollment will drop next year by more than 6000 students a trend that is predicted to continue through the end of the decade.
But wait a minute — haven’t we been told that a big problem with California schools is overcrowding? If our schools are "bursting at the seams" wouldn’t a few less students be a good thing and perhaps even improve the learning environment?
Common sense says yes. But common sense and education policy in California are usually miles apart.
The real cause for the educators’ concern is not the kids — it’s money. Although 6000 fewer students may not seem significant in a system that serves over 6 million students statewide each student lost means a reduction in total dollars provided to education currently more than half of the state budget.
This modest loss is a shock to those in the education community who have come to think of increased enrollment and the money that goes with it as the rule — between fiscal years 1991-92 and 2001-02 enrollment increased by an average of 80000 students each year.
While most teachers administrations or those who provide services genuinely want our schools to succeed in their mission to graduate educated young people there is nonetheless a built-in bias toward ever more spending which includes increases in pay and benefits for employees and more contracts for service providers.
In 2005 the Los Angeles Unified School District placed on the ballot its fourth bond in eight years. Using the district’s own estimates taxpayers provided a ballot argument opposing this latest $4 billion bond saying it should be postponed because of evidence the LAUSD was facing a long-term trend of declining enrollment — more than 16000 students over the next four years.
Backers of the bond took the authors of the ballot opposition (including this writer) to court in an effort to excise references to the loss of students but the judge left them in. Moreover we now know that even those estimates were way too modest. This year the LAUSD admitted to a one-year decline of 30000 students confirming that the wise course would have been to delay taking on another $4 billion in debt that must be retired by taxpayers.
What we are seeing is the rise of a powerful cadre of pro-spending pro-bond "lobbyists" from the ranks of those who directly benefit including school employees contractors and bond brokers. The result is that while often the needs are genuine just as often the extent of the need is exaggerated.
And it is a problem that extends well beyond spending on education. In 1990 backers of Proposition 111 were trying to convince Californians to raise the tax on gasoline — just one of the numerous times that we have been told that there is a "magic bullet" solution to our transportation woes. To raise money for expensive advertising the campaign sent letters to all those who had ever contracted with CalTrans reminding them of the benefits they had derived from state contracts and asking them to dig deep to help pass the gas tax increase.
Although a blatant example of how special interests are often behind bond and spending initiatives it illustrates what is a common occurrence. Look at the list available on the Secretary of State’s website of those who contributed to the campaign to pass Propositions 1B 1C 1D and 1E. Much of the money was provided by those who expect to do the work now that this $37 billion bond package has been approved.
And special interest lobbying continues to be alive and well at the local level. When the Los Angeles City Council placed a $1 billion housing bond on the last ballot the several million dollars spent by the campaign in support was provided by you guessed it developers who expected to receive contracts if the measure had been approved.
Make no mistake California has severe infrastructure needs. These have resulted from an abandonment of the policies of the early 1960s when capital improvements were paid for by a combination of yearly pay-as-you-go outlays and modest bond investment. Over time the focus has shifted from building and maintaining infrastructure to spending more on social welfare and government employees who are now rated as the highest paid in the nation according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
And no Proposition 13 is not a part of this equation. Governments at all levels have more money after adjusting for population growth and inflation than they did prior to the passage of Proposition 13.
What is needed is to refocus our spending priorities. We must take a balanced approach that funds programs in a way that benefits all California residents not just those whose sole interest in taxing and spending is inflating their personal bottom line.
Jon Coupal is president of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association — California’s largest taxpayer organization — which is dedicated to the protection of Proposition 13 and promoting taxpayers’ rights.
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